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Understanding inventory pressure

By Doug Francis

Northern Virginia Real Estate Trends 2013

Available Inventory after the rate bump has increased. Trend is unlike previous years. Click to enlarge.

Really, what’s the deal?

Have you been looking at homes recently only to find that the listing you saw on Trulia.com  Wednesday afternoon is now under-contract?

Well, that’s an issue in some areas for many buyers engaged in Northern Virginia real estate going into Fall 2013. But this three year chart for the entire Northern Virginia real estate market tells a different story with the overall inventory actually increasing. Take a look at this three-year snapshot and note the number of “active” listings increasing at the end of August.

If you are a current home buyer then you are probably thinking, “that’s what I am seeing”.

The factors that have been influencing consumer behavior have been:

  • uncertainty about the economy and job market like most parts of the country
  • the continuous downward trend in mortgage interest rates have made existing mortgages more affordable through refinancing.
  • a decision to stay-put

A stronger interest in “staying-put” has become the big influencer for existing home owners that are making real estate decisions. People are taking a second look at their communities in Northern Virginia and recognizing that they live in nice areas already.

So, why move? The grass certainly doesn’t look any greener and the commute looks longer!

As a result, I have met with many home owners in Vienna, McLean and Oakton Virginia who have decided to remodel and expand their homes rather than move.

My buyer clients understand that our strategy is essential

So, if you are a home buyer then you are caught in a “squeeze play” – the home owner affordability index works in your favor but fewer people are selling their homes. Rather than a hit or miss approach, having a clear strategy from the get-go includes much more than having a pre-approval letter from a mortgage professional.

These charts will update monthly so let’s watch the trend change. (Hint: BOOKMARK this page)

Vienna Virginia Real Estate Trends

McLean Virginia Real Estate Trends

These charts can be re-engineered depending on what you are looking for from the real estate stats, so if there is something missing then let me know via email or comment below.

 

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Filed Under: Blog, Home Buyer Tips Tagged With: Northern Virginia, real estate, Vienna Virginia

About Doug Francis

A seasoned Realtor specializing in unique and new homes around Vienna, Virginia, Doug has seen consumer behavior, negotiations and communication styles change. At his original brokerage, he was the first agent to add an email address. Imagine! Outside real estate, he plays tennis, is a Washington Capitals fan, spends time with Skipper (his dog), and enjoys the restaurant scene in the DCA. He's a Boston University graduate who feels morning coffee is non-negotiable.

Vienna real estate agent Doug Francis

When we bought our house in Vienna, we were thinking about raising the kids, building an addition, and knowing the neighbors. Today, home buyers are attracted to Vienna because of the sense of community, walkability, and small town lifestyle.

So, what’s next after your 25 years? It’s a conversation many of my clients are having with me as they plan to move to the beach, travel, or get closer to grandkids. Helping them see their future, sell their current home, and move ahead with their updated plan has been an interesting new chapter.

My background: I am an active licensed agent in Virginia, have negotiated hundreds of sales contracts, work at TTR Sotheby’s International Realty in McLean, and still sell homes in all price ranges. I donate to the Town of Vienna tree replacement fund, participate in a neighborhood citizens association, and try my best to stay in shape.

Let’s discuss your moving plans: Email doug@dougfrancis.com or call me at (703) 304-6827 .  Cheers!

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“Doug nailed it! Within days, we had three offers, one of which not only met, but far exceeded all of our goals.”
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About Doug Francis

I am a Realtor with TTR Sotheby's International Realty® just outside Washington D.C. in Northern Virginia. I'm licensed in Virginia with a focus on Vienna, VA real estate since 1991.

That deep knowledge is valuable, especially in today's fast-paced market where advice is critical. Although many of my clients are personally referred, I am available to help you too and am accepting new clients right now.

Feel free to contact me at 703-304-6827 or email me at doug@dougfrancis.com anytime!

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Doug: (703) 304-6827

TTR Sotheby's International Realty
6723 Whittier Avenue McLean, VA 22101

Office: 703-319-3344
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